I would rather buy a diamond from Cartier than JCPenny’s. Am I ridiculous? Duh. Is there a difference in quality? Probably not much. Do other brands offer diamonds that look just as regal and luxurious? Definitely! I’ve seen them highlighted in Vogue. But, I still want Cartier. And face it, Global Business Network (GBN), is the Cartier of futures work. The 2×2 matrix their diamond ring. GBN gets a bad rap in the futures community. We say it’s impossible to fit future outlooks into four separate square boxes. Yet, GBN excels where we don’t- at packaging foresight.
This week, I attended a Methods Seminar taught by Dr. Wendy Schultz. Though I’ve taken courses on futures methodologies, Wendy’s presentation was awesome in terms of evaluating methods across the board. The seminar exposed students to five schools of futures thought including morphological analysis, archetype narration and causal layered analysis.
Afterwards, I was left with the thought: how can we present the “anti” 2×2 models in a compelling way to organizations? I’ve yet to hear of most clients begging for causal layered analysis. When compared to the 2×2 matrix, futurists agree that other methods offer a more comprehensive narrative of the alternative futures landscape. But we forget our language. We are a cult where the code words are scenario, uncertainty and emerging issues. Our clients speak revenue, profit and predictability. Business and futures need to develop a common language in which advanced foresight becomes an integral and actionable piece of the strategy puzzle.
Of course, I’m sure a good many futurists are secretly packaging their products. My plea: publish a book Peter Schwartz-style and help a futurist out! Steve Jobs proved it’s not about just your offerings but more how you package them. We are currently the boutique diamond designers. We must start being brands. We need to be iconic.

Emily, good post! You read my mind.
I’ve been working on a way to present the more basic 2×2 matrix to clients – with all of their expectations intact – including all of the “meet them where they are” packaging around revenue and development, but also move them toward a more integral and advanced ay of thinking/seeing/acting. This includes CLA, Verge scanning, and more integral foresight methods (I tend to be a contrarian by nature), but meshed in such a way as to be relevant, exciting, and action-oriented for the client.
Frank
Frank,
You’re going all Peter Schwartz on us? Love it! Have clients been receptive to the integration of these methods? What questions keep coming up?
Emily